12 Jul · 12:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1421
FormLWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Cibik
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1479
FormLLLLL
45%
55%
🌟Cibik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (50)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H16-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-6)