12 Jul · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1421
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1518
FormWWWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+97
H2H84-70
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (84-70)