12 Jul · 09:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1568
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jirout
VJ
🇨🇿Vojtech Jirout
ELO 1570
FormLLWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Jirout
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H5-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.