12 Jul · 14:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1555
FormWLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sykora
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1462
FormWWWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Sykora
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+93
H2H45-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-28)