12 Jul · 14:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1504
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Rolik
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1479
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
🌟Rolik goes over total as favourite 63% (71)
Fair odds · Rolik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.