12 Jul · 09:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1493
FormLWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sochor
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1462
FormWWWLL
53%
47%
🌟Sochor rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (19)
Fair odds · Sochor
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.