12 Jul · 11:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LB
🇨🇿Lukasz Buklat
ELO 1541
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Buklat
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kos
ELO 1514
FormLWLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Buklat
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H15-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.