12 Jul · 22:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1513
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sedlacek
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Fojtik
ELO 1494
FormWWLLW
52%
48%
🌟Fojtik covers set handicap as underdog 73% (26)
Fair odds · Sedlacek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.