12 Jul · 20:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1616
FormWWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Krupnik
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1513
FormLWLLL
58%
42%
🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (39)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H10-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)