12 Jul · 18:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1408
FormLWLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Dohnal
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1570
FormWWLWL
37%
63%
🌟Dohnal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (94)
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+162
H2H20-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-5)