12 Jul · 19:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1757
FormWWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kadavy
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1827
FormWWWWW
44%
56%
🌟Vesecky covers set handicap as underdog 63% (75)
Fair odds · Kadavy
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)