12 Jul · 17:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1597
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Skvrna
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1621
FormWLLLW
48%
52%
🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (61)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H15-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.