12 Jul · 13:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1542
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Raska
MJ
🇨🇿Michal Janik
ELO 1466
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
🌟Raska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (16)
Fair odds · Raska
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.01· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H2-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)