12 Jul · 16:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Skalicky
ELO 1548
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Skalicky
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1520
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
🌟Precek covers set handicap as underdog 66% (38)
Fair odds · Skalicky
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H5-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.