12 Jul · 18:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1520
FormLLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Chaloupka
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1597
FormWWWWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Precek🌟Precek covers set handicap as underdog 66% (38)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)