12 Jul · 14:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1672
FormWWWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Sarganek
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1472
FormLLWWL
66%
34%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zaskodny
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 37% · 2.72· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~73 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+200
H2H18-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+200)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-10)