12 Jul · 14:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LB
🇨🇿Lukasz Buklat
ELO 1539
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Buklat
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1507
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Buklat
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.84· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H35-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.