12 Jul · 18:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1827
FormWWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Kadavy
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1675
FormLWLLL
62%
38%
🌟Cerny stays under total as underdog 65% (69)
Fair odds · Kadavy
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+152
H2H24-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-8)