12 Jul · 21:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1585
FormLLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Brozek
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1660
FormWLWWW
44%
56%
🌟Fiklik stays under total as underdog 63% (121)
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H103-115
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)