12 Jul · 15:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kos
ELO 1519
FormWLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Patryk
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1602
FormLLWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 64% · 1.57· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H8-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-4)