12 Jul · 18:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1491
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vidourek
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1438
FormWLLWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Vidourek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 47% · 2.15· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.