12 Jul · 20:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1529
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vitasek
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1463
FormLLWLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Volny🌟Volny covers set handicap as underdog 80% (15)
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)