13 Jul · 13:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OH
🇨🇿Ondrej Hula
ELO 1464
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Cibik
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1495
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
🌟Cibik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (51)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.