13 Jul · 12:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1421
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zajicek
MZ
🇨🇿Martin Zajicek
ELO 1462
FormWLLLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Zajicek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.