13 Jul · 10:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1444
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Moravec
PM
🇨🇿Petr Moravec
ELO 1465
FormLWWLL
48%
52%
🌟Moravec rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (20)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.