13 Jul · 14:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MZ
🇨🇿Martin Zajicek
ELO 1462
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Hula
OH
🇨🇿Ondrej Hula
ELO 1464
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Hula
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.