13 Jul · 07:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1520
FormWWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Stepien
MS
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1641
FormLWWLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Stepien
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+121
H2H81-41
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (81-41)