13 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1559
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Molka
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1521
FormLWLLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Molka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~81 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H32-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.