13 Jul · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DD
🇨🇿Dariusz Drozdz
ELO 1617
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Drozdz
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1550
FormLWLWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Drozdz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 55% · 1.80· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H94-72
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (94-72)