13 Jul · 10:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ZC
🇨🇿Zdenek Chovancik
ELO 1406
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Snr
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Snr
ELO 1421
FormLLLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Snr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.