13 Jul · 16:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1519
FormWLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vodal
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1556
FormLWWLW
47%
53%
🌟Vodal goes over total as favourite 67% (49)
Fair odds · Vodal
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H29-40
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.