13 Jul · 16:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1429
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Budik
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1486
FormWLLLW
45%
55%
🌟Budik goes over total as favourite 79% (33)
Fair odds · Budik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H14-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-7)