13 Jul · 16:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1660
FormWLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Vesecky
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1785
FormWWWWW
40%
60%
🌟Cerny stays under total as underdog 66% (71)
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+125
H2H65-68
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)