13 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1518
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Molka
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1552
FormWLLWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Molka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H68-75
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.