13 Jul · 18:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1556
FormLWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vodal
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1486
FormWLLLW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Budik🌟Budik covers set handicap as underdog 81% (63)
Fair odds · Vodal
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H12-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-9)