13 Jul · 17:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1651
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sikora
RK
🇨🇿Rene Kowal
ELO 1607
FormWWWLW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kowal🌟Sikora rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (29)
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H10-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.