13 Jul · 18:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1785
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Vesecky
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1680
FormLWLLW
59%
41%
🌟Bochnak covers set handicap as underdog 62% (40)
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H20-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-18)