13 Jul · 17:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1660
FormWLLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Vanek
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vanek
ELO 1797
FormLLWLW
39%
61%
🌟Cerny stays under total as underdog 66% (71)
Fair odds · Vanek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~73 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+137
H2H29-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-21)