13 Jul · 19:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vanek
ELO 1797
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vanek
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1785
FormWWWWW
51%
49%
🌟Vesecky covers set handicap as underdog 64% (77)
Fair odds · Vanek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H20-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.