13 Jul · 20:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1556
FormWLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Gembala
JG
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1638
FormWLWLW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vicherek🌟Vicherek covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Gembala
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)