13 Jul · 21:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1494
FormWWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Niezgoda
RN
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1605
FormLLWLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Niezgoda
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H11-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-5)