13 Jul · 18:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1660
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1680
FormLWLLW
48%
52%
🌟Cerny stays under total as underdog 66% (71)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H54-52
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.