13 Jul · 18:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1429
FormWWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Cousin
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1519
FormWLWLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Cousin
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H26-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-7)