13 Jul · 17:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1429
FormWWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Vodal
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1556
FormLWWLW
40%
60%
🌟Vodal goes over total as favourite 67% (49)
Fair odds · Vodal
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+127
H2H29-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-28)