Michal Lysakowski vs Marcin Stepien

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13 Jul · 13:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski

ELO 1562

3-1Final setsLysakowski won

🇨🇿Marcin Stepien

ELO 1635

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Stepien at 55%. The actual result was Michal Lysakowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

Michal Lysakowski — profile →Marcin Stepien — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Marcin Stepien favoured — closing 1.75

Upset

Total 81.5

92 points played

Over

Set handicap

Marcin Stepien −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Marcin Stepien −1.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 1.59

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

4.8

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Lysakowski is favoured to win, below means Marcin Stepien.

▲ Michal Lysakowskipre 48% → final 94%

Marcin Stepien ▼

Biggest swing 46 pts70 points · 3 games