13 Jul · 16:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1654
FormWLWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Moravec
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1536
FormWLLLW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 64% · 1.57· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+118
H2H8-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-0)