13 Jul · 17:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1604
FormWWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Patryk
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1490
FormWWWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H13-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-7)