13 Jul · 16:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1549
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sykora
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1571
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Sykora
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H6-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.