13 Jul · 18:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TT
🇨🇿Tomas Trnka
ELO 1649
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Trnka
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1560
FormLWLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Trnka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 57% · 1.74· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)