13 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Jakub Caban
ELO 1538
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Caban
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1487
FormLLLLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Caban
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 48% · 2.07· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H36-41
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.